2011
"Human papillomavirus vaccination programs and human immunodeficiency virus epidemics." Clin Infect Dis. 2011;53:845-6.
"Implications of HIV PrEP trials results." AIDS Res Hum Retroviruses. 2011;27:81-90. Abstract
"Modeling the impact on the HIV epidemic of treating discordant couples with antiretrovirals to prevent transmission." AIDS. 2011;25(18):2295-9. Download: Full Text (165 KB)
"Quantification of the role of discordant couples in driving incidence of HIV in sub-Saharan Africa." Lancet Infect Dis. 2011;11:263-4.
2010
"A major HIV risk factor for young men who have sex with men is sex with older partners." J Acquir Immune Defic Syndr. 2010;54:113-4.
"A universal long-term flu vaccine may not prevent severe epidemics." BMC Res Notes. 2010;3:92. Abstract
"Are correctional facilities amplifying the epidemic of community-acquired methicillin-resistant Staphylococcus aureus?" Nat Rev Microbiol. 2010;8:83.
"Assessing the impact of mass rape on the incidence of HIV in conflict-affected countries." AIDS. 2010. Abstract
Download: AIDSHIV&massrape.pdf (422.61 KB)
"Costs of eliminating HIV in South Africa have been underestimated." Lancet. 2010;376(9745):953-4. Download: Brad&SallyLancet.pdf (88.42 KB)
"Evolutionary dynamics of complex networks of HIV drug-resistant strains: the case of San Francisco." Science. 2010;327:697-701. Abstract
"HIV, transmitted drug resistance, and the paradox of preexposure prophylaxis." PNAS. 2010;107:12381-6. Abstract
"Should we try to eliminate HIV epidemics by using a 'Test and Treat' strategy?" AIDS. 2010;24(5):775-6. Download: test&treateditorial.pdf (245.91 KB)
"Treatment Equity & the HIV epidemic in Africa." Nuntium by Bishop Rino Fisichella, Rector of the Pontifical Lateran University, Auxiliary of Rome, Pontifical Lateran University, The Vatican. 2010;34.
2009
"Calculating the potential for within-flight transmission of influenza A (H1N1)." BMC Med. 2009;7:81. Abstract
"Quantifying the treatment efficacy of reverse transcriptase inhibitors: new analyses of clinical data based on within-host modeling." BMC Public Health. 2009;9 Suppl 1:S11. Abstract
"Voluntary universal testing and treatment is unlikely to lead to HIV elimination: a modeling analysis." Nature Precedings. 2009. Abstract
Download: NOelimination2009-10-29.pdf (274.49 KB)
2008
"Infectious syphilis in high-income settings in the 21st century." Lancet Infect Dis. 2008;8:244-53. Abstract
"Is there any evidence that syphilis epidemics cycle?" Lancet Infect Dis. 2008;8(9):577-81. Abstract
"The paradoxical effects of using antiretroviral-based microbicides to control HIV epidemics." PNAS. 2008;105(28). Abstract
Download: Full Text (756.56 KB); Supplemental Material (1.9 MB)
2007
"Can influenza epidemics be prevented by voluntary vaccination?" PLoS Comput Biol. 2007;3:e85. Abstract
"Effectiveness and efficiency of imperfect therapeutic HSV-2 vaccines." Hum Vaccin. 2007;3:231-8. Abstract
"How far will we need to go to reach HIV-infected people in rural South Africa?" BMC Med. 2007;5:16. Abstract
"Longitudinal study of herpes simplex virus type 2 infection using viral dynamic modelling." Sex Transm Infect. 2007;83:359-64. Abstract
"Mean-field analysis of an inductive reasoning game: application to influenza vaccination." Phys Rev E Stat Nonlin Soft Matter Phys. 2007;76(3 Pt 1):031127. Abstract
"Modelling an outbreak of an emerging pathogen." Nat Rev Microbiol. 2007;5(9):700-9. Abstract
"Narrative review: antiretroviral therapy to prevent the sexual transmission of HIV-1." Ann Intern Med. 2007;146:591-601. Abstract
"Predicting the future of XDR tuberculosis." Lancet Infect Dis. 2007;7:443.
"The Emergence of HIV Transmitted Resistance in Botswana: ‘‘When Will the WHO Detection Threshold Be Exceeded?’’." PLoS One. 2007. Download: plosone_botswana_2007.pdf (216.69 KB)
"The transmission dynamics of syphilic and the CDC's elimination plan." Nature Precedings. 2007.
2006
"Modeling the potential impact of rectal microbicides to reduce hiv transmission in bathhouses." Math Biosci Eng. 2006;3:459-66. Abstract
"Reply to "Comment on 'Linking population-level models with growing networks: a class of epidemic models'"." Phys Rev E Stat Nonlin Soft Matter Phys. 2006;74:046110. Abstract
"The Role of parametric resonance in virological failure during HIV treatment interruption therapy." Lancet. 2006;367:1285-9. Abstract
2005
"A queueing model for chronic recurrent conditions under panel observation." Biometrics. 2005;61(1):193-8. Abstract
"Allocating antiretrovirals in South Africa: using modeling to determine treatment equity." PLoS Med. 2005;2:e155; author reply e186.
"Designing equitable antiretroviral allocation strategies in resource-constrained countries." PLoS Med. 2005;2:e50. Abstract
"Is population-level perversity a likely outcome of mass vaccination against HIV? - Authors reply." Lancet Infect Dis. 2005;5:255-256.
"Linking population-level models with growing networks: a class of epidemic models." Phys Rev E Stat Nonlin Soft Matter Phys. 2005;72:046110. Abstract
"Modeling the potential public health impact of imperfect HIV vaccines." J Infect Dis. 2005;192:1494-5; author reply 1495-6.
"Predicting the potential individual- and population-level effects of imperfect herpes simplex virus type 2 vaccines." J Infect Dis. 2005;191:1734-46. Abstract
"Predicting the potential public health impact of disease-modifying HIV vaccines in South Africa: the problem of subtypes." Curr Drug Targets Infect Disord. 2005;5:179-92. Abstract
