Drug resistance (antiviral & antibiotic)

• E. Kajita, J.T. Okano, E.N. Bodine, S.P. Layne and S.M. Blower. 2007. Modelling an outbreak of an emerging pathogen. Nature Reviews Microbiology 5(9):700-9. [Full Text]

• R. Vardavas and S.M. Blower. 2007. The Emergence of HIV Transmitted Resistance in Botswana: “When Will the WHO Detection Threshold Be Exceeded?” PLoS One 1(e152).[Full Text][Supplemental Information][Press]

• D.P. Wilson, J.O. Kahn and S.M. Blower. 2006. Predicting the epidemiological impact of antiretroviral allocation strategies in KwaZulu-Natal: The effect of the urban-rural divide. PNAS 103(38):14228-14233. Epub 2006 Sep 12. [Full Text] [Supplemental Information].
  Science Magazine's Editor's Choice Article in the field of Biomedicine [Link].

• S.M. Blower, E.N. Bodine, J.O. Kahn, W. McFarland. 2005. The antiretroviral rollout & drug resistant HIV in Africa: insights from empirical data & theoretical models. AIDS 19(1): 1-14. [Full Text].

• S.M. Blower and T. Chou. 2004. Modeling the emergence of the 'hot zones': tuberculosis and the amplification dynamics of drug resistance. Nature Medicine 10(10). [Full Text] [Supplemental Information].
  Science Magazine's Editor's Choice Article in the field of Medicine. [Link].

• S.M. Blower, L. Ma, P. Farmer, and S. Koenig. 2003. Predicting the impact of antiretrovirals in resource poor settings: preventing HIV infections whilst controlling drug resistance.  Current Drug Targets - Infectious Disorders 3: 345-353. [Full Text]

• S.M. Blower and P. Farmer. 2003. Predicting the public health impact of antiretrovirals: preventing HIV in developing countries. AIDScience 3 (11). [Full Text]

• S.M. Blower, E.J. Schwartz and J. Mills. 2003. Forecasting the future of HIV epidemics: the impact of antiretroviral therapies and imperfect vaccines. AIDS Reviews 5 (2): 113-125. [Full Text]

• H.B. Gershengorn, G.H. Darby and S.M. Blower. 2003. Predicting the emergence of drug-resistant HSV-2: new predictions. BMC Infectious Diseases 3:1. [Full Text]

• S.M. Blower, A.N. Aschenbach and J.O. Kahn. 2003. Predicting the transmission of drug-resistant HIV: comparing theory with data. The Lancet Infectious Diseases 3 (1): 10. [Full Text]

• S.M. Blower and P. Volberding. 2002. What can modeling tell us about the threat of antiviral drug resistance? Current Opinion in Infectious Diseases 15 (6): 609-614. [Full Text]

• J.X. Velasco-Hernandez, H.B. Gershengorn and S.M. Blower. 2002. Could widespread use of combination antiretroviral therapy eradicate HIV epidemics? The Lancet Infectious Diseases 2: 487-493. [Full Text]

• S.M. Blower and C.L. Daley. 2002. Problems and solutions for the Stop TB Partnership. The Lancet Infectious Diseases 2: 374-376. [Full Text]

• S.M. Blower. 2001. Transmission of zidovudine resistant strains of HIV-1: the first wave. AIDS 15: 1-2.

• S.M. Blower, A.N. Aschenbach, H.B. Gershengorn and J.O. Kahn. 2001. Predicting the unpredictable: Transmission of drug-resistant HIV. Nature Medicine 7 (9): 1016 - 1020. [Full Text][Erratum]

• S.M. Blower, H.B. Gershengorn and R.M. Grant, 2000. Reversibility of HIV Drug Resistance. Science 288: 1299. [Full Text]

• S.M. Blower, H.B. Gershengorn and R.M. Grant. 2000. A tale of two futures: HIV and antiretroviral therapy in San Francisco. Science 287: 650 - 654. [Full Text] [Simulation]

• H.B. Gershengorn and S.M. Blower. 2000. The impact of antivirals and the emergence of drug resistance: HSV-2 epidemic control. AIDS Patient Care and STDs 14 (3): 133-142. [Full Text]

• S.M. Blower, K. Koelle and T. Lietman. 1999. Antibiotic resistance - to treat...(or not to treat)? Nature Medicine 5 (4): 358. [Full Text]

• S.M. Blower, T.C. Porco and G.H. Darby. 1998. Predicting and preventing the emergence of antiviral drug resistance in HSV-2. Nature Medicine 4 (6): 673-678. [Full Text]

• S.M. Blower and J.L. Gerberding. 1998. Understanding, predicting and controlling the emergence of drug-resistant tuberculosis: a theoretical framework. Journal of Molecular Medicine 76: 624-636. [Full Text] [Simulation]

• S.M. Blower, T.C. Porco and T. Lietman. 1998. Tuberculosis: The evolution of antibiotic resistance and the design of epidemic control strategies". Mathematical Models in Medical and Health Sciences. Eds Horn, Simonett, Webb. Vanderbilt University Press. [Full Text]

• S.M. Blower, P.M. Small and P.C. Hopewell. 1996. Control strategies for tuberculosis epidemics: new models for old problems. Science 273:497-500. [Full Text]